The Packers are 6 point favorites over the Cowboys in Sundays divisional round at Lambeau field in Green Bay.
The 6 point spread can be attributed to the Packers having weather conditions considered the primary factor in their home field advantage.
When I take in to consideration the fact that the Cowboys have been practicing outdoors and the Packers indoors at the Hudson Center: the playing field has been leveled.
The Packers had a bye in the first round and lack the one thing the Cowboys have going for them. Momentum.
Tony Romo and the Cowboys have won six straight and went undefeated in December for the 1st time in almost two decades. Trust me: momentum helps.
One of the biggest storylines leading up to this game is the debate over who should be the league MVP: Tony Romo or Aaron Rodgers?
Tony Romo had the highest quarterback rating in the NFL this year, but the voters are still waiting for him to lose in the post season. A win Sunday vs the Packers should lock it up for him, but Tony doesn’t concern himself with that. He has his sights set much higher. His first Lombardi trophy.
If the Dallas Cowboys want to secure a win vs the Green Bay packers on Sunday, they need to take advantage of the mismatches they can create.
The Packers ranked near the bottom of the league against the run (25th) last time I checked. This is the mismatch the Cowboys need to key on the most having the NFL’s leading rusher, DeMarco Murray, at their disposal.
Lions were able to contain Murray with the leagues top ranked run defense which enabled them to pin their ears back, and expose the Cowboys young OLs lack of experience in blitz pick up which resulted in Tony Romo taking a season high of six sacks and hits way up in the double digits. They must commit to the run and prevent the Packers from doing the same thing.
The Packers don’t have what I call top notch cover linebackers so Jason Witten should be used often. Lance Dunbar and his quickness will create a mismatch with the screen. Cole Beasley is a mismatch nightmare against any LB and most safeties.
If the Cowboys commit to the run and utilize the mismatches underneath with the short passing game Romo won’t be forced to hold the ball waiting for plays to develop down the field. If the Cowboys stick to this formula it’s a win.